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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ppku6298 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 42% (94–129, n=223) | 47% (13990–15476, n=29466) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $34K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 46% (42 of 92 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 106 at avg 49¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 62% (won 83% of 66) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 89% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ppku6298 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Wizards $4.9K | Magic $258 | — |
| Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.9K | Over $199 | — |
| Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.0K | Over $253 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $3.0K | Bulls $227 | — |