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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| berlinskies | sainttroplay | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5967–4132, n=10099) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #356 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2170 at avg 62¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 91% of 136) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 460) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 98% of 753) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 100% of 821) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | berlinskies | sainttroplay | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $46 | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — |