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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| betdge | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1481–1534, n=3015) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $183K | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #616 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −3 pts, n=611 | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2726 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 18% of 464) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 40% of 998) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 60% of 926) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 86% of 338) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | betdge | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |