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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| betdge | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1155–1174, n=2329) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $108K | $7.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #874 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 72% (59 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=565 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 19% of 388) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 40% of 874) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 834) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 84% of 290) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | betdge | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K |