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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
betdgeBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (1308–1343, n=2651)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$132K$7.7M$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #874PM monthly #1PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)73% (43 of 59 open)72% (71 of 98 open)58% (90 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=565—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 19% of 388)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 874)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 834)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 84% of 290)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbetdgeBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $3.1KGiants $37K—Eagles $8.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115K—No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $150
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $2.0K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $4.9K—76ers $371
Spread: Giants (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $1.1K——Eagles $2.5K
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $234——Rams $2.3K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $680——Over $1.6K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339K—No $33K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $21K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $827——Browns $14K