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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| big8betz | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 25% (1–3, n=4) | 74% (421–148, n=569) | no settled market | 68% (301–139, n=440) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8K | $47K | — | -$52K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #215 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (33 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | Soccer −5 pts, n=26 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 86 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 18% of 11) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 43% of 28) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 70% of 43) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 50% of 4) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | big8betz | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Lorenzo Angelini vs Robin Bertrand opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand | — | Robin Bertrand $1.1K | — | Lorenzo Angelini $75 |
| Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt same side · consensus Cruz Hewitt | — | Tristan Schoolkate $6.1K | — | Tristan Schoolkate $17K |
| Brisbane 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Alex Bolt same side · consensus Alex Bolt | — | Alex Bolt $411 | — | Alex Bolt $1.2K |