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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binkybarnes55BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (609–560, n=1169)45% (547–663, n=1210)62% (398–249, n=647)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL-$118K$11.0M$194K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #637PM monthly #1PM monthly #98PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)75% (83 of 110 open)100% (1 of 1 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEsports −6 pts, n=459———
Settled positions, side won52% of 1233 at avg 55¢, ROI −2%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 18% of 90)10% (won 79% of 58)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 318)36% (won 98% of 200)56% (won 99% of 224)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 55% of 619)35% (won 99% of 194)33% (won 100% of 134)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 77% of 206)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.