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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bipbipbop00gringo00beachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)75% (1617–534, n=2151)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$106K$3.5M$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #989was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus86% (12 of 14 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=82—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won74% of 1969 at avg 73¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 5% of 402)0%3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 41% of 106)0%29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 64% of 113)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up68% (won 98% of 1348)0%14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.