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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (424–385, n=809) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $413K | $7.6M | $4.1M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #708 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 65% (129 of 198 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $120K | Yes $2.2M |