← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| calm919 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (267–40, n=307) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #526 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (4 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 280 at avg 71¢, ROI +21% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 69% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 94% of 90) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 96% of 161) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | calm919 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | — | Commanders $31K |