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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (51–111, n=162) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$50K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #628 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (120 of 181 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 73% (111 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 111 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 44% of 32) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 70% of 47) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $311K | Yes $2.1M | — |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $13K | — | No $7.4K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $28 | — | No $115 |