Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
chongchong37RN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)55% (123–99, n=222)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)46% (131–154, n=285)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$357K$13.4M$19.0M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #58PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +48 pts n=67, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=51, ROI +49%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won97% of 118 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 68)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 94% of 49)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up0%32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.