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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| cigarettes | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (10101–10684, n=20785) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 49% (345–353, n=698) |
| Consensus PnL | $631K | $13.4M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (289 of 428 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Esports −5 pts, n=274 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 7704 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 5% of 3769) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 745) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 707) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 2483) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cigarettes | RN1 | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud same side · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Dune Vaissaud $13 | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — |