← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| cigarettes | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (10094–10679, n=20773) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $630K | $4.1M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (287 of 423 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −5 pts, n=274 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 7704 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 5% of 3769) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 745) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 707) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 2483) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cigarettes | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | No $2.7K | — |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | Yes $2.3K | — |