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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiedSisyphus-VanchalkensteinWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled marketno settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL————
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #314PM monthly #605PM monthly #227
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=101———
Settled positions, side won51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%—59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 4% of 152)4% (won 82% of 17)—6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 47% of 15)24% (won 97% of 112)—35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 78% of 23)48% (won 99% of 224)—47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 98% of 144)24% (won 100% of 110)—13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.