Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiedjuice-fruitpetanimalrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.5K$152K$12$251K
Tracked asPM monthly #339PM monthly #28was PM monthly #283PM monthly #39 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=101———
Settled positions, side won51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%—100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 4% of 152)2% (won 100% of 1)—11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 47% of 15)25% (won 100% of 12)—33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 78% of 23)44% (won 100% of 21)—44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 98% of 144)29% (won 100% of 14)—11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifiedjuice-fruitpetanimalrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $122—Yes $2.0K—