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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | ndb1 | SaylorMoon | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (191–132, n=323) | 57% (293–219, n=512) | no settled market | 59% (296–204, n=500) |
| Consensus PnL | $783K | $4.6M | — | $899K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #610 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | classified | ndb1 | SaylorMoon | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $54K | Yes $970 | — |