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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | ndb1 | petanimal | Sisyphus- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (258–144, n=402) | no settled market | no settled market | 95% (309–17, n=326) |
| Consensus PnL | $783K | — | -$13 | $643K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #157 | was PM monthly #283 | PM monthly #314 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — | 98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — | 4% (won 82% of 17) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — | 24% (won 97% of 112) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — | 48% (won 99% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — | 24% (won 100% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | classified | ndb1 | petanimal | Sisyphus- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $149 | — | Yes $2.0K | — |