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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
claudionetotraderndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (1072–790, n=1862)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$90K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #728PM monthly #139PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)73% (33 of 45 open)60% (109 of 183 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 12% of 428)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 155)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 214)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 97% of 694)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclaudionetotraderndb1RN1
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $185—No $917
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10K—Yes $5.3K