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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| cm2897 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1403–1339, n=2742) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #337 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (76 of 129 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | College Football ±0 pts, n=922 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 7% of 450) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 41% of 508) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 61% of 528) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 90% of 454) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cm2897 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $318 | — | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $40 | — | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $16 | — | Under $1.3K |