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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crckrFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)31% (709–1596, n=2305)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)63% (993–577, n=1570)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #935PM monthly #10PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)74% (129 of 175 open)68% (50 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −5 pts, n=153Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won22% of 1248 at avg 19¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢76% (won 9% of 944)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 43% of 122)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 65% of 105)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 91% of 77)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.