Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cruzNBABreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (381–482, n=863)45% (535–643, n=1178)48% (12851–13947, n=26798)
Consensus PnL$47K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #862PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)71% (82 of 116 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +46 pts n=380, ROI +49%
  • NBA +19 pts n=10, ROI +22%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won96% of 394 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 73% of 40)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 96% of 127)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 203)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcruzNBABreakTheBankRN1
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $143No $753—