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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cruzNBA | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (384–486, n=870) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) |
| Consensus PnL | $48K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #862 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 394 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 73% of 40) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 96% of 127) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 24) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cruzNBA | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | — | Yes $250 |