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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
darkumbreon88RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)66% (1802–949, n=2751)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$176K$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #806PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)83% (5 of 6 open)89% (146 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=89, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=211, ROI +31%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1605 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 18)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 158)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 605)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 824)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdarkumbreon88RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $7.7K——