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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
delacsynzy1BreakTheBankRN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)76% (501–155, n=656)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL-$8.5K$11.0M$14.8M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #899PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (134 of 156 open)57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 493 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 7)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 98% of 124)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 100% of 356)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 6)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.