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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
deltasniperFlaznorpndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)59% (200–140, n=340)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$38K$3.3M$4.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #856PM monthly #17PM monthly #139—
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)65% (267 of 410 open)73% (33 of 45 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=128Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won57% of 343 at avg 57¢, ROI −2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 92)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)—
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 24% of 45)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)—
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 65% of 65)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)—
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 91% of 141)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.