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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
donthackmejoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (6400–3785, n=10185)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (495–321, n=816)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$677K$5.6M-$352K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #12PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (246 of 319 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=263—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won48% of 6420 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 14% of 3014)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 716)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 68% of 785)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 94% of 1905)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.