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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
drainedandpoorjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)48% (583–624, n=1207)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$793K$5.6M-$352K$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position72% (13 of 18 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=597, ROI +1%
  • NHL +12 pts n=27, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=65, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=52—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won50% of 1206 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 22% of 148)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 432)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 56% of 578)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 90% of 48)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdrainedandpoorjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10K——Yes $15K