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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dromedaryy | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (27–53, n=80) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (31 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (147 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 33 at avg 47¢, ROI +36% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 76% of 17) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 14) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dromedaryy | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $79 | — | No $671K | — |