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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dv-pm0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)48% (3200–3422, n=6622)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$197K-$352K$11.0M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #373was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus33% (6 of 18 open)69% (9 of 13 open)91% (150 of 165 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=1046Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won47% of 5487 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 17% of 1196)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 40% of 1739)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 59% of 1659)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 80% of 893)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.