← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (10814–3294, n=14108) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14256–15876, n=30132) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $874K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (81 of 130 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | 48% (32 of 66 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | e46m3 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.5K | Yes $29K | — | — |