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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)48% (278–307, n=585)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)69% (188 of 272 open)71% (56 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 14)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 41)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 100% of 138)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketefntrickFlaznorpndb1
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
opposite sides · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Coleman Wong $3Yosuke Watanuki $6.4K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4Under $30K