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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (311–330, n=641)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$12K-$9.5M$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)75% (3 of 4 open)66% (79 of 120 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won100% of 208 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 100% of 17)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 45)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 100% of 144)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketefntrickferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Monastir: Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Nikolai Barsukov
Toufik Sahtali $99—Nikolai Barsukov $336—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
Luca Nardi $33—Alexander Ritschard $143—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Juan Sebastian Gomez $8—Franco Roncadelli $20—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12K—