Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (280–308, n=588)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$13K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position51% (27 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 14)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 41)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 100% of 138)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketefntrickjoseph00677RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
Damir Dzumhur $19—Inaki Montes $1.3K