← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| efntrick | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (280–308, n=588) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #854 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #36 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 52% (85 of 162 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 50% of 2) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 14) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 41) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 100% of 138) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | efntrick | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M vs. South Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | — | Texas A&M $2.5K | South Carolina $37K |
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | — | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | Facundo Acosta $30 | — | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | — | — | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $405 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $66 | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K |