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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
enpirugbrptisainttroplayBreakTheBanksurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)55% (1453–1177, n=2630)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$82K$4.4M$10.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #350 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position90% (148 of 165 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=126——NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won55% of 2991 at avg 53¢, ROI +1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 22% of 313)0%10% (won 82% of 56)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 46% of 1024)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 61% of 1105)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 78% of 549)0%19% (won 100% of 107)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketenpirugbrptisainttroplayBreakTheBanksurfandturf
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K——Yes $2.3K