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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $19.0M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (43 of 75 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $10 | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | — | Mary Stoiana $21K | — |