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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (42 of 74 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | — | Lorenzo Musetti $38K | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | — | Mary Stoiana $21K | — |