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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (653–659, n=1312) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 49% (346–353, n=699) |
| Consensus PnL | -$42K | $14.8M | -$857K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (52 of 82 open) | 56% (25 of 45 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | RN1 | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $53 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $393 | Cavaliers $68 | — |
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $106 | Over $184 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4 | Over $260 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | Under $76 | — |
| Villa Maria: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Mateo Del Pino | Mateo Del Pino $4 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $11 | — |
| Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | James Kent Trotter $3 | Ozan Baris $3 | — |
| Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $13 | Ryo Tabata $20K | — |
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $575 | No $11K | — |
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | Under $4.5K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Eero Vasa $8 | Eero Vasa $4.3K | — |
| Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $80 | Yes $3.7K | — |
| Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus Yes | No $625 | No $2.9K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $633 | 76ers $495 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $120 | 76ers $919 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego same side · consensus Mattia Bellucci | Lorenzo Sonego $2 | Lorenzo Sonego $742 | — |
| Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $297 | Over $349 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $133 | 76ers $114 | — |
| Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $76 | No $126 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $10 | Bulls $137 | — |
| Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $45 | No $49 | — |