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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | surfandturf | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (649–657, n=1306) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $4.1M | $5.8M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (38 of 87 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | surfandturf | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Magic | Wizards $287 | — | — | Magic $19K |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.7K | — | Yes $6.4K |