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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)56% (27468–21434, n=48902)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.6M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)75% (119 of 158 open)57% (17 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10548, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10548 at avg 86¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)25% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)75% (won 100% of 7872)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1THG.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.6K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $23KMaria Sakkari $20KMaria Sakkari $9.2K—
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $27KGina Feistel $3.3KGina Feistel $7.0K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Polina Kudermetova $2.2KJanice Tjen $6.4K——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $6.7K—Mai Hontama $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Maxim Mrva $8Matteo Martineau $3.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Over $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $1.9KAngela Fita Boluda $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $685—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $53Under $320—
Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Sixers
Sydney Sixers $206Melbourne Stars $28——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
BetBoom Team $3.4KBetBoom Team $39——
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
—Martha MATOULA $934Martha MATOULA $1.9K—
M25 Heraklion: Alexandre Aubriot vs Robin Bertrand
same side · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robin Bertrand $1.6KRobin Bertrand $276—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
—Cezar Cretu $246Cezar Cretu $1.1K—
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group C
same side · consensus FORZE Reload
FORZE Reload $1.2KFORZE Reload $25——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $57Over $141—
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C
same side · consensus SAW Youngsters
SAW Youngsters $131SAW Youngsters $29——