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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026LlamaEnjoyerndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)87% (2690–404, n=3094)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M-$3.2M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87Hand-pickedPM monthly #109PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)86% (6 of 7 open)70% (67 of 96 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +4 pts n=720, ROI +6%
  • MMA +2 pts n=219, ROI +4%
  • NFL +2 pts n=202, ROI 0%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 2782 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 20% of 153)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)2% (won 66% of 64)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)2% (won 84% of 50)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)90% (won 100% of 2515)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.