Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026metski29ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)45% (374–457, n=831)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M-$179K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #913PM monthly #108PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position75% (76 of 102 open)82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NHL −4 pts, n=28NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%67% of 569 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)0%13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)20% (won 58% of 112)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)78% (won 69% of 441)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)3% (won 88% of 16)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026metski29ndb1primm
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $3——Buccaneers $4.3K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $235——Bears $3.6K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $3——Buccaneers $96
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
Bears $62K——Bears $47K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $48K——Buccaneers $18K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $33K——Buccaneers $30K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $2.6K——Buccaneers $30K