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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #115PM monthly #95PM monthly #30 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus74% (17 of 23 open)72% (52 of 72 open)48% (12 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1strominion
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $2.5K—Sumit Nagal $670—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—