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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forecastication4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1194–1219, n=2413) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $105K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #321 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (131 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 817 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 99% of 316) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 274) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forecastication4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8.2K | No $7.7K | — | — |