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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forrestgumper | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (463–580, n=1043) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $68K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #971 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (16 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 714 at avg 49¢, ROI +7% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 24% of 208) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 56% of 133) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 178) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 95% of 195) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forrestgumper | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | No $3.3K | — |