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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fyrsken | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (290–248, n=538) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 288 at avg 50¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 52% (won 95% of 150) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 96% of 128) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fyrsken | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Colts $106 | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $255 | Cardinals $35K | — |