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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gaclfzBreakTheBanksurfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)93% (1041–81, n=1122)45% (542–652, n=1194)52% (273–252, n=525)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$266K$10.6M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #253PM monthly #1was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (146 of 164 open)0% (0 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +24 pts n=202, ROI +25%
  • MMA +20 pts n=40, ROI +12%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=685, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=58Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won99% of 1003 at avg 86¢, ROI +10%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 94% of 16)10% (won 82% of 56)20% (won 12% of 109)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 94% of 47)36% (won 98% of 198)21% (won 46% of 114)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 99% of 118)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 60% of 176)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 100% of 822)19% (won 100% of 107)26% (won 82% of 137)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgaclfzBreakTheBanksurfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.7KYes $6.4K