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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gm-gg-gnsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (6–8, n=14)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #842was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgm-gg-gnsainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $254—No $671K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $181—Yes $172K—