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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gobblewobbleCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)77% (399–117, n=516)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$59K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #294PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 463 at avg 89¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 86% of 7)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 100% of 13)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 100% of 22)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 100% of 421)2% (won 100% of 7)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.